The National Party will be "dog tucker" in this election if they can't recapture some of their mojo back off Jacinda Ardern in the next three weeks of campaigning, political analyst Bryce Edwards says.
Speaking to Jack Tame on TVNZ 1's Breakfast today, Dr Edwards said the National party will be "panicked" by yesterday's 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton poll that has Labour as the most popular New Zealand political party for the first time in 12 years.
"A huge jolt, because National are suddenly losing their mojo on this, they will be quite panicked by this poll, it feels like a turnaround in this election campaign that they are behind," Dr Edwards said.
"I think everyone is shocked to just see that National are the second most popular party for the first time in 12 years."
Yesterday's poll had Labour up six points to 43 per cent support, with National dropping three points to 41 per cent.
Jacinda Ardern also overtook Bill English as preferred Prime Minister with a 34 per cent approval rating, to Mr English's 33 per cent approval.
"They [National] know if this narrative catches hold they are losing this election, it will soon be over for them, they'll be dog tucker because they will have real trouble trying to put together a coalition if they lose another couple of points," Dr Edwards said.
"Because they won't be able to do it just with New Zealand First, and they won't be able to do it with any other parties as well, as in New Zealand First can't work with the Maori party or ACT so National are looking like they're running out of options."