1 NEWS Colmar Brunton poll: Labour keeps four point lead, could govern with Greens

Labour has maintained its four point lead over National in a new 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton poll out tonight, the same margin as a similar poll taken last week.

It's a good result for Labour, after backtracking on their tax policy earlier today, following a week-long hammering from National.

Party support results from 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton Poll, 14 September 2017. Source: 1 NEWS

Jacinda Ardern's fear that the party was hemorrhaging votes from National's attack appears unfounded, with Labour actually jumping one point higher to 44 per cent.

National also climbed one point from last week's poll to 40 per cent. 

Alongside Labour, the big winner from this poll is the Greens, up two points to seven per cent. On tonight's numbers, Labour and the Greens could govern alone.

Would-be king or queen maker Winston Peters (New Zealand First) is down three points in tonight's poll to six per cent, while TOP is steady at two per cent and the Maori Party is down one point to one percent.

Tonight's poll doesn't take into account any voter preferences as a result of Labour's tax change today.

The poll was conducted from Saturday September 9 (last Saturday) to Wednesday September 13 (yesterday).

Preferred Prime Minister results from 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton Poll, 14 September 2017. Source: 1 NEWS

Jacinda Ardern, on 34 per cent, still leads in the preferred prime minister stakes by two points from Bill English, with both major party leaders up one point on last week.

Winston Peters was steady on five per cent.

1 NEWS / Colmar Brunton Poll results for tonight, Thursday September 14

Labour Party      44% (last week - 43%)

National Party    40% (last week - 39%)

Green Party        7% (last week - 5%)

NZ First             6% (last week - 9%)

TOP                  2% Steady

Maori Party        1% (last week - 2%)

ACT Party          0.6% 

Both have made small gains in this week's poll, with Labour's lead over National remaining at four points. Source: 1 NEWS



Vote Compass: What are New Zealand's young voters concerned about?

The latest Vote Compass results have shown the "volatility" among young voters this election, with surprising results highlighting the big concerns about health and housing coming through as the hot topics 

The findings are based on 175,689 participants of Vote Compass from August 20, 2017 to September 8, 2017.

So far 357,429 people have completed the online election tool. 

University of Auckland associate professor Jennifer Lees-Marshment told 1 NEWS the Vote Compass outcome of participants aged 18 to 29 showed "we shouldn't assume" how young people will vote, or class them predominantly in a 'left-wing' thinking box. 

"They're actually a lot more diverse. Young people think about these issues more seriously and more reflectively than we assume," Dr Lees-Marshment said. 

Vote Compass Results - Hospitals
Source: 1 NEWS

Health topics seemed to unite the opinions of young voters, with 91 per cent of young voters agreeing government should increase funding of public hospitals to reduce waiting lists. 

Vote Compass Results - GP visits for children
Source: 1 NEWS

Free GP visits for under 18s saw 58 per cent 'strongly agreeing' with the notion, rising to an overall support base of 87 per cent. 

Watch the parties debate the issues that matter most to young people tonight at 7.30pm on 1 NEWS Now, Facebook, Youtube and Twitter.

Vote Compass Results - Affordable housing
Source: 1 NEWS

Young voters also surged ahead when asked if the government should build affordable housing for Kiwis to buy, with 51 per cent 'strongly agreeing, jumping up to 82 per cent support overall. 

The biggest surprise for Dr Lees-Marshment about young voters was "there wasn't strong support of more immigrants, or increasing the refugee quota". 

"It's really divided."

Vote Compass Results - Immigrants
Source: 1 NEWS

Forty per cent thought there should be less immigrants, 34 per cent wanted the same amount, and only 22 per cent thought there should be more. 

Vote Compass Results
Vote Compass Results Source: 1 NEWS

The figures also showed 35 per cent of young voters wanted less refugees, 23 per cent wanted the same and 40 per cent through the quota should increase. 

New Zealand's current quota is 750 per year, with increases for occasions such as the Syrian refugee crisis. 

Vote Compass Results - Maori language
Source: 1 NEWS

Young voters were strong in their support for the Maori language, with a 53 per cent support base, and only 16 per cent saying there should be less support. 

Greenhouse gas emissions generated a 76 per cent young voter support base, with only a mere five per cent saying New Zealand should do less to reduce emissions. 

There was also 61 per cent of young voters for requiring private companies to disclose the pay of male and female employees for the same work, with only 21 per cent disagreeing. 

Vote Compass Results - education
Source: 1 NEWS

They were notable strong supporters of government funding of three-years of post-school education, with 31 per cent strongly agreeing, that's 10 per cent more than any other age group, but overall it only sat at 58 per cent, with a large chunk (28 per cent) disagreeing. 

Dr Lees-Marshment said the sizable portion disagreeing with the education move showed Labour was not necessarily going to bring in the youth voter with their tertiary policy of one-year free post-school.

A major proportion of those under 30 aren't enrolled to vote. Source: 1 NEWS

The results also showed a reflection of the "overall volatility" of voters this election, Dr Lees-Marshment said, with no clear party policies aligning with the views of younger voters. 

Here are just a few policies the parties have on how they would address the current health system issues in New Zealand. Source: 1 NEWS

Here are just a few policies the parties have on how they would address housing issues in New Zealand. Source: 1 NEWS

Developed by a team of social and statistical scientists from Vox Pop Labs, Vote Compass is a civic engagement application offered in New Zealand exclusively by TVNZ. The findings shown here are based on 101,101 respondents who participated in Vote Compass from August 20, 2017 to August 27, 2017. Unlike online opinion polls, respondents to Vote Compass are not pre-selected. Similar to opinion polls, however, the data are a non-random sample from the population and have been weighted in order to approximate a representative sample. Vote Compass data have been weighted by gender, age, education, religion, occupation, and Mãori descent to ensure the sample’s composition reflects that of the actual population of New Zealand according to census data and other population estimates.

This election 1 NEWS has again launched its online tool – Vote Compass. Source: 1 NEWS

TODAY'S
FEATURED STORIES

Watch: Disgruntled Gisborne fruit picker challenges Bill English head-on over minimum wage

A disgruntled Gisborne fruit picker has tackled minimum wage head on with Bill English as he visited Kaiaponi Farms today while on the campaign trail. 

Robin Lane fired questions at the National Party leader as he was taking questions from the media, telling him workers "don't have any power" during pay negotiations with employers. 

Since 2008, National has raised the minimum wage from $12 to $15.75. 

"Given that we have got a strong economy why is it that the adult minimum wage only goes up like $0.25, I know you said that it is the cost of living but I mean that's not really true, it's not," Mrs Lane said.

Mr English then went on to explain how an employee's pay is a matter between them and their employer. 

"They fundamentally decide it and the government puts a floor in there, at the minimum and we keep moving that floor up and that does keep people up roughly with the cost of living."

As the heated debate continued, Ms Lane responded, "when you've got negotiations with your employer about your wage, you don't have any power. Do you know what I mean?

"So if the National Government says, 'the adult minimum wage is going to be $16.50', there's no incentive for a company to raise the wages of their workers if they are doing well."

Mr English responded by saying, "The point you make, I think, is the opposite of what we were talking about before. We will continue to increase the minimum wage."

Interjecting, Mrs Lane said, "You've raised it $3.75 over nine years. Now, how would you like it if your hourly rate went up $3.75 over a period of nine years?"

"Look, it would be quite a challenge. No doubt about that," admitted Mr English. 

"I tell you what. It's a huge challenge," Mrs Lane said.

"That's why we keep these consistent moderate increases flowing through, because that's how the wages, that's how the floor rises," Mr English said.

Bill English admitted living on the minimum wage would be a "quite a challenge" during the disagreement. Source: 1 NEWS